根据Manpower Group的数据，由于T-MEC协议的重新谈判以及美国的关税政策所带来的不确定性，企业正在放缓招聘节奏，其对2026年的招聘预期非常保守。
这家人力资源公司的墨西哥地区负责人Alberto Alesi表示，预计明年将创造15万至30万个就业岗位。
“Absolutely, the start of the year will be below what we saw in 2025; we are not facing a situation of certainty at all. There are many factors at play, one of which is the tariff issue. Not to mention, the US administration has threatened to raise tariffs by 5% due to a dispute over water resources in the northern part of the country, on the border with Texas,” he explained.
在新闻发布会上，他提到虽然今年墨西哥的正规就业情况有所改善（截至11月底新增了59.9万个就业岗位），但非正规就业的比例已经达到了经济活动人口的57%。
“Avoiding the inclusion of this group in the formal workforce means that, even if new jobs are created, we are still pushing more people into the informal economy,” he emphasized.
Alesi also noted that the creation of nearly 600,000 new jobs was driven by the inclusion of digital platform workers in the Mexican Social Security system.
“He said that if we exclude the approximately 200,000 workers employed through mobile apps, the actual number of new jobs created would be around 400,000,” he added.
“If it weren’t for that unexpected surplus, this year’s employment figures would likely have been flat or even negative, just like in the fourth quarter of 2024, when more than 400,000 people were removed from the social security system,” he commented.
According to Manpower, the seasonally adjusted net employment trend for Mexico at the beginning of 2026 is expected to be 24%.
In terms of recruitment plans for the first quarter: 38% of organizations plan to expand their workforce; 15% expect to reduce it, and 13% have not yet made a decision regarding possible adjustments.
“The economic uncertainty continues to affect labor force planning. Among those organizations anticipating staff reductions, more than a quarter (26%) cite economic challenges as a major reason for this decision.”
墨西哥华人网（mxhuaren.com）点评：
T-MEC协议与美国关税政策的不确定性对墨西哥就业市场影响深远，尤其在移民与用工结构上。非正规就业比例高，反映出政策与经济环境的双重压力，企业招聘谨慎，需关注政策走向与劳动力市场的变化。
